For a long time, growth in follower numbers was the central indicator of social performance. Accumulating followers meant widening your community and therefore mechanically increasing your ability to reach your audience. This logic is now being profoundly transformed. Recent analysis of several massive databases of social accounts shows a structural slowdown in follower growth and, at the same time, a shift towards a logic of content consumption driven by algorithms.
Community growth is slowing sharply
Follower growth, that is, the growth of brand communities, continues to slow, reaching a point of near stagnation on several platforms. The analysis of thousands of accounts shows that average monthly growth now remains modest, at around +3.4% per month on TikTok, +0.6% on Instagram and +0.5% on LinkedIn.
These levels remain positive but reflect a change in dynamics. In the early phases of the social platforms’ maturity, communities could grow quickly thanks to users’ progressive adoption of the networks and to the “follow” logic that structured the experience. Today, in mature environments heavily saturated with content, audiences follow fewer accounts and favour a logic of opportunistic consumption of content served by the algorithm.
For brands, this means that community size grows more slowly and that audience expansion increasingly depends on the ability of content to circulate beyond the circle of existing followers.
Source: Dashsocial
The algorithm favours discovery over relationship
Alongside this slowdown in follower growth, content distribution relies more and more on algorithmic discovery mechanisms. Platforms now structure their feeds around the relevance of content rather than the explicit relationship between a creator and their audience.
Concretely, a growing share of views comes from users who do not follow the account. Across several formats and platforms, the majority of reach is now generated outside the follower base, reflecting a shift from the “social graph” to an “interest graph”. Users no longer primarily see content from the accounts they follow, but content the algorithms judge relevant to their interests.
This transformation intensifies competition between content and increases dependence on editorial quality and on the ability of formats to generate immediate attention.
Source: Metricool
Attention becomes the new unit of value
In this new context, several engagement signals are gaining importance. Recent analyses show, for example, a marked rise in certain interaction indicators, notably content shares, which increased by around +31% on TikTok and +86% on Instagram for certain categories of accounts.
This evolution illustrates a gradual shift in value: platforms favour content that generates strong attention signals and circulates actively between users. Reach, view volume, consumption time and the propensity to share become key indicators of a piece of content’s ability to capture attention and spread through the ecosystem.
While follower growth remains a useful indicator for measuring a brand’s establishment over time, it can no longer be the central metric of social management. Performance now rests more on the ability to produce content capable of generating discovery, attention and real interactions.
Source: Martechcube
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On the same topic: « Social commerce: why social is the business accelerator of your whole media mix » and « TV and Social are neck and neck worldwide and in France: why, and what promises for 2022? ».
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